District Administration - March 2012 - (Page 62)
By Angela Pascopella
A CrystAl BAll
for student
AChievement
Predictive analysis is taking hold in some school districts—and getting results.
P
redicting the future is now in the hands of K12 administrators. While for years districts have collected thousands of pieces of student data, educators have been using them only for data-driven decisionmaking or formative assessments, which give a “rear-view” perspective only. Now, using predictive analysis—the pulling together of data over time and using it to forecast student needs—administrators can determine students’ futures, experts say. With the help of several software programs and experts who know how to collect the data, K12 districts have started to use this method, which is common in business and government. One of the most popular predictions among district leaders is to forecast whether a student will graduate high school and be successful in college. “I think this is a natural evolution from a decade or two of changes in our education system,” says Jason Willis, assistant superintendent of the San Jose Unified School District in California. “Twenty-five years ago, we didn’t even have standards for our states. It wasn’t until 15 years ago that districts were regularly collecting data in reference to those standards. And it’s this progression to say, ‘Let’s look at
more powerful ways to marshal this data.’ The potential power of predictive analysis could accelerate the opportunity to get better information about where kids are going. There are so many benefits. It’s very cutting edge; it’s not mainstream, and it’s not readily accepted.” Nicole Catapano, coordinator for data analysis at the Washington-Saratoga-WarrenHamilton-Essex BOCES in New York, adds, “I think this is something that with the volumes of data people have available to them now will make their decision-making more accurate and more efficient.” In addition, some district administrators are looking to shape teacher instruction and, in turn, affect teacher evaluations with predictive analysis (see sidebar). With all states considering legislation that would tie teacher evaluations to student performance, predictive analysis will likely grow in popularity. Looking Back While many districts started to collect their own data into warehouses or student information systems up to 10 years ago, software limitations hindered administrators in putting all of the information together, according to
62 March 2012
District Administration
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of District Administration - March 2012
District Administration - March 2012
Contents
From the Editor
Letters
News Update
Inside the Law
District Profile
Administrator Profile
Research Center
CIO News
Building an Ed Tech Dream Team
Are you Ready for Common Core Math?
A Crystal Ball for Student Achievement
The Single Largest Education Donor Comes With Controversy
Models of Education Reform
Noteworthy Books
New Products
Going Mobile
Professional Opinion
District Administration - March 2012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201511
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201510
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201509
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201508
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201507
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201506
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201505
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201505_AudioVisualSolutions
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201504
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201503
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201502
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201501
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201412
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201411
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201410
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201409
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201408
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201407
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201406
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201405
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201405_AudioVisualSolutions
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201404
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201403
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201402
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201401
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201306
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201305
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201304
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201303
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201302
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201301
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da201301_AudioVisualSolutions
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1012
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0912
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0712
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0612
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0512
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0412
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0312
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0212
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da_avguide0112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0112
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1011
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0911
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0711
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0611
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0511
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0411
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0311
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0211
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0111
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1010
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0910
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0710
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0610
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0510
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0410
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0310
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0210
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0110
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1009
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0909
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0809
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0609
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0509
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0409
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0309
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0209
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0109
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1108
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1008
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0908
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0808
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0708
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0608
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0508
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0408
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0308
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0208
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0907
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0807
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0707
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0607
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0507
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0407
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0307
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0207
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0107
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1206
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1106
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da1006
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0906
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0806
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0706
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da-palm0606
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0606-av
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0606
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0506
https://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/pmg/da0406
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com