december2021 - 25

Chassis & suspensions
1-3
months
Engine oil
1-3
81.6%
months
51.3%
45.7%
40%
4-6
months
4-6
months
15.8%
21.4%
18%
7-12
months
7-12
months
11.8%
8.6%
8%
No
purchase
plans
21.1%
24.3%
34%
typically under 3.3 months or lower. It will take
eight months to clear the September backlog,
Vieth said.
ACT Research data showed backlogs in the
Class 8 market reached 279,300 units, 7.5% off
the all-time record of 302,100 set in October 2018.
The backlog-to-build ratio is at 12.6 months.
The disparity is narrowing in the Class 8 market.
The Class 8 orders in September were 27,300, down
26% from the monthly average over the past 12
months of 36,800. Builds in September reached
22,200, a slight improvement over the 21,800 units
per month average over the last 12 months.
" Given carrier profitability, freight volumes-
everything you want to look at it in the freight
market-we should be seeing record-level orders
right now, " Vieth surmised. " The only thing that's
standing between record-level orders and record
backlogs is the OEMs themselves; they're not
going to over promise their backlog until they
have better visibility on [the current supply
chain environment]. "
Vieth said some OEMs are more willing to open
backlogs than others, adding trailer manufacturers
have also pulled back, otherwise there would
be record backlogs there, too.
Overall, Hendrickson's Oliphant, an industry
veteran of 30 years, said the OEMs scaling back
orders and build rates have actually had a positive
effect on the OE.
" That has allowed a couple of our plants to catch
up a little bit and get on top of things, " Oliphant said.
Still, from his vantage point, the industry overall
has a struggle ahead.
" We've never had this much demand and not
been able to fill it, " he said. " Fleets are making so
10.5%
12.9%
10%
6.6%
7.1%
8%
No
purchase
plans
1.3%
2.9%
16%
77%
66%
FTR Classes 4-8 & Trailer Build Outlook
Class 4-7 Production
2021
2022
2023
Class 8 Production
2021
2022
2023
195,900
207,000
250,000
U.S. Aftermarket
Demand for Class
6-8, Trailers and
Container Chassis
260,500
300,000
360,000
Trailer Production
2021
2022
2023
Source: FTR November 2021 data
265,300
315,000
335,000
+6.9%
+6.2%
-8.9%
+17.2%
+7.0%
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Source: MacKay &
Company's DataMac
December 2021 | FleetMaintenance.com
25

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december2021

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of december2021

From the Editor – Hitched Up: Maintaining Optimism in 2022
Equipment: Treading Carefully: Overcoming tire supply and maintenance issues
In the Bay: Implementing an efficient oil program in four steps
Shop Operations: Navigating the parts predicament
Technology Trends: Preparing for dual SCR
Drivetrain: E-axles shift miantenance focus
Management: Addressing the 'why' of preventive maintenance
Economic Outlook: Untangling the supply chains
Diagnostics: ADAS calibration: a matter of millimeters
Guide to Diagnostic Process and Tools
Tools & Equipment
Fleet Parts & Components
Classifieds
Guest Editorial: Diagnostic tools are a technician's sidekick
december2021 - 1
december2021 - 2
december2021 - 3
december2021 - 4
december2021 - 5
december2021 - From the Editor – Hitched Up: Maintaining Optimism in 2022
december2021 - 7
december2021 - Equipment: Treading Carefully: Overcoming tire supply and maintenance issues
december2021 - 9
december2021 - 10
december2021 - 11
december2021 - 12
december2021 - 13
december2021 - In the Bay: Implementing an efficient oil program in four steps
december2021 - 15
december2021 - 16
december2021 - 17
december2021 - 18
december2021 - 19
december2021 - Shop Operations: Navigating the parts predicament
december2021 - 21
december2021 - 22
december2021 - 23
december2021 - 24
december2021 - 25
december2021 - 26
december2021 - 27
december2021 - 28
december2021 - 29
december2021 - Technology Trends: Preparing for dual SCR
december2021 - 31
december2021 - Drivetrain: E-axles shift miantenance focus
december2021 - 33
december2021 - 34
december2021 - 35
december2021 - 36
december2021 - Management: Addressing the 'why' of preventive maintenance
december2021 - Economic Outlook: Untangling the supply chains
december2021 - 39
december2021 - Diagnostics: ADAS calibration: a matter of millimeters
december2021 - 41
december2021 - 42
december2021 - Guide to Diagnostic Process and Tools
december2021 - 44
december2021 - 45
december2021 - 46
december2021 - 47
december2021 - 48
december2021 - 49
december2021 - 50
december2021 - 51
december2021 - 52
december2021 - 53
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december2021 - 55
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december2021 - 70
december2021 - Tools & Equipment
december2021 - 72
december2021 - 73
december2021 - 74
december2021 - 75
december2021 - 76
december2021 - 77
december2021 - 78
december2021 - 79
december2021 - Fleet Parts & Components
december2021 - Classifieds
december2021 - Guest Editorial: Diagnostic tools are a technician's sidekick
december2021 - 83
december2021 - 84
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