AAIA Factbook 2011 - (Page 4)
key eConoMIC InDICaTors
U.S. gross domestic product totaled nearly $13.0 trillion in 2009, reflecting a 0.7 percent compounded annual growth rate since 2005. Despite this mild growth, the overall economy saw unfavorable changes in key economic indicators as it tried to recover from the recession. Some of the most notable changes in the four year compounded annual growth rates occurred in the civilian unemployment rate (16.2 percent), housing starts (-28.0 percent) and the consumer confidence index (-15.2 percent). Changes in the U.S. economy were also seen in the weakening of the U.S. dollar relative to other foreign currencies. For example, exchange rates expressed in units per U. S. dollars indicated the broad index declined from 110.71 in 2005 to 105.87 in 2009 reflecting a -1.1 percent change in the compounded annual growth rate. As the dollar continued to weaken relative to foreign currencies, total U. S. exports increased at a compounded annual growth rate of 3.1 percent since 2005.
key economic Indicators
(billions of chained 2005 Dollars, unless otherwise noted)
2005 Gross Domestic Product and Components Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Personal Consumption Expenditures Durable Goods Nondurable Goods Services Gross Private Domestic Investment Government Expenditure Trade Balance Total Exports Total Imports Interest Rates (Change in points )1 Prime Rate Federal Funds Rate Manufacturing Indicators Industrial Production Indexes (2002 = 100)1 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing (average) Tire Manufacturing (average) Purchasing Managers Index (average)2 2007 2009 Compounded Annual Growth Rate (2005-2009) Assessment
$12,638.4 $8,819.0 $1,105.5 $1,968.4 $5,745.1 $2,172.2 $2,369.9 -$722.7 $1,305.1 $2,027.8 6.19% 3.22%
$13,254.1 $9,313.9 $1,199.9 $2,074.8 $6,040.8 $2,146.2 $2,443.1 -$647.7 $1,546.1 $2,193.8 8.05% 5.02%
$12,990.3 $9,235.6 $1,101.3 $2,037.0 $6,088.4 na $2,564.8 -$355.3 $1,472.1 $1,827.4 3.25% 0.16%
0.7% 1.2% -0.1% 0.9% 1.5% na 2.0% -16.3% 3.1% -2.6% -14.9% -52.8%
¥ l ¥ l l na ¥ m l m
¥ ¥
103.9 100.9 55.5
97.4 94.2 51.1 $3,995 $10,403 4.6% 90.6 1,355
59.8 72.6 46.2 $3,683 $10,929 9.3% 53.6 555
-12.9% -7.9% -4.5% 0.0% 4.2% 16.2% -15.2% -28.0%
m m m
Consumer Information $3,687 Retail Sales (Billions of Current Dollars)3 Disposable Personal Income (Billions of Current Dollars) $9,277 Civilian Unemployment Rate (Change in points)4 5.1% Consumer Confidence Index (for December)5 103.8 Housing Starts (Thousands of Units)3 2,068 Prices4 Producer Price Indexes Total Manufacturing (Dec. 1984 = 100) Diesel Fuel (June 1985 = 100) Consumer Price Indexes (1982-84 = 100) All Items Motor Vehicle Parts and Equipment Exchange Rates (Units per U .S . Dollar)1 Broad Index (Jan. 1997 = 100) Canada – Dollar China – Yuan European Union – Euro (U.S. Dollars per Currency Unit) Japan – Yen Mexico – Peso
Notes: na = not available Historical data have been revised.
¥ l m m m
150.8 236.7 195.3 111.9 110.71 1.21 8.19 1.24 110.11 10.89
162.9 294.8 207.3 121.6 103.40 1.07 7.61 1.37 117.76 10.93
167.1 226.1 214.5 134.1 105.87 1.14 6.83 1.39 93.68 13.50
2.6% -1.1% 2.4% 4.6% -1.1% -1.5% -4.4% 2.9% -4.0% 5.5%
m l l l
m m m l m l
l = Favorable condition for motor vehicle aftermarket ¥ = Indeterminate trend - should monitor m = Unfavorable condition for motor vehicle aftermarket
4
Sources: AAIA’s Industry Indicators Report, U.S. Department of Commerce 1 Federal Reserve Board 2 Institute for Supply Management 3 U.S. Census Bureau 4 U.S. Department of Labor 5 The Conference Board
2 0 1 1 d i g i t a l a f t e rma rk et f a ctbo o k c o p y r i g h t © 2 0 1 0 a uto mo ti ve a f terma rk et i ndust ry associat ion
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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of AAIA Factbook 2011
AAIA Factbook 2011
Table of Contents
Economic Indicators
Key Economic Indicators
Aftermarket Employment
Technician Employment and Wages
U.S. Motor Vehicle Aftermarket
Introduction to the Channel Forecast Model
2010 to 2012 Forecast Assumptions
U.S. Motor Vehicle Aftermarket
Aftermarket Sales History and Forecast 2002 to 2012
Aftermarket Sales by Distribution Channel
Automotive Aftermarket Segmentation
Aftermarket Service and Retail Channels
Aftermarket Service and Retail Outlet Analysis
Program Distribution Summary
Financial Indicators
Financial Profiles of Selected Aftermarket Companies
Aftermarket Mergers and Acquisitions
Automotive Aftermarket
Consumer Profile
Sales of Replacement Tires
Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Accessories
Aftermarket Accessories
Chemicals and Fluids
Automotive Chemicals and Fluids
Aftermarket Segments
Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Aftermarket
Tool and Equipment Aftermarket
Paint, Body and Equipment Aftermarket
Bodyshop Business Industry Profile
Vehicle Sales, Usage and Registrations
U.S. Motor Vehicle Sales
Top 10 Light Vehicle Sales
U.S. Motor Vehicle Population
Hybrid Vehicles
Vehicle Operating Costs
Gasoline Affordability and Vehicle Miles Traveled
State Summary Statistics
Global Aftermarket
Global Economic and Automotive Data
Global Vehicle Registrations
Canadian Aftermarket
Mexican Aftermarket
Chinese Aftermarket
Glossary and Reference
Glossary of Aftermarket Terms
NAICS Definitions
Aftermarket Data Resources
AAIA Market Research
AAIA – Lang Market Comparison
Harmonization of Aftermarket Industry Data
The Lang Aftermarket Annual 2011
AAIA Factbook 2011
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