Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 6
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wATCh Forecasts Point to Robust Nonresidential Construction Market in 2007
By Joe Salimando S trong 2006 performance in nonresidential construction
markets should continue in 2007 despite a slide in housing construction,
latest industry data and forecasts show. U.S. Census Bureau figures reveal
that nine-month construction spending totals for 2006 were significantly
higher than 2005 in the following categories: hotels and motels 48 percent
, transportation construction 24 percent , manufacturing 22.8 percent ,
amusement and recreation 18.4 percent , TABLE onE power plant construction
17.7 percent and office buildings 15.9 percent . Highway and street
construction, meanwhile, rose 16 percent year-to-date over 2005, and
educational construction increased by 7 percent. Other positive growth
areas include sewage and waste disposal and transportation facilities.
Nearly all of these categories are expected to grow in 2007, due to a
fundamentally strong economy. Overall nonresidential construction was up
16.9 percent in unadjusted dollars through Sept. 30, 2006, compared to
2005. At the same time, the dominant market of the past few years—new
housing construction—was up only 1.2 percent in dollars and therefore
down, after being adjusted for inflation . What about the future?
McGraw-Hill Construction MHC sees as much as a 5 percent dip in
single-family housing construction, and a flat market down 1 percent for
hotels, office buildings and warehouses. They do, however, forecast a 5
percent gain in public works construction, another 7 percent improvement
in contracts for educational buildings, and a 14-percent gain for
manufacturing plants. Before we move on, note that—if the forecast is
borne out by events—manufacturing construction will this year experience
a fifth consecutive annual gain. Housing’s Regional Impact Three 2007
construction forecasting conferences were held this past October, with
MHC, Reed Construction, and the Regional Nonresidential Contracts for New
Construction Dollars in billions – ’05 = actual, ’06 = estimate,
’07 = forecast CommErCiAL & mAnufACTuring ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘05
insTiTuTionAL & oThEr ‘06 ‘07 nonBuiLding* ConsTruCTion ‘05 ‘06
‘07 PErCEnTAgEs ‘07 ovEr ‘06 nonrEs nonBLdg ToTAL** Northeast North
Central South Atlantic South Central West TOTAL U.S.: $11.4 $16.6 $18.2
$13.5 $20.6 $80.3 $14.7 $19.2 $20.4 $15.1 $27.6 $97.0 $15.1 $19.3 $23.2
$16.6 $27.7 $101.9 $18.9 $22.1 $19.5 $15.5 $22.8 $98.8 $19.4 $23.0 $21.7
$18.2 $24.6 $106.9 $20.0 $24.1 $23.9 $18.9 $27.0 $113.9 $16.2 $22.4 $18.7
$18.8 $25.8 $101.9 $17.9 $26.5 $19.6 $23.1 $29.0 $116.1 $17.7 $26.3 $21.9
$23.7 $28.9 $118.5 +3% +3% +12% +7% +5% +6% -1% -1% +12% + 2% — +2% -2%
-1% +1% +1% -3% -1% * Nonbuilding construction includes highways and
bridges, environmental, other public works and electric utilities. **
Total in percentage column includes residential construction, not shown
above. Total residential single-family and multi-family changes from 2006
are: NE = -7%, NC = -3%, SA = -5%, SC = -2%, and West = -8%. Source:
McGraw-Hill Construction Note: MHC’s new construction starts numbers do
not match total construction spending figures as supplied by the U.S.
Department of Commerce Census Bureau . In 2005, for example, the
government numbers showed construction exceeding $1.1 trillion, while
MHC’s numbers—which mostly track new construction and large
modification projects—totaled $663 billion. States by region: Northeast
= CT, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, PA, RI, VT. North Central = IA, IL, IN, KS, MI,
MN, MO, ND, NE, OH, SD, WI. South Atlantic = DC, DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC,
VA, WV. South Central = AL, AR, KY, LA, MS, OK, TN, TX. West = AK, AZ, CA,
CO, HI, ID, MT, NM, NV, OR, UT, WA, WY. 6 EnginEEring inC. JAnuArY /
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Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007
Table of Contents
From ACEC To You
News & Notes
Market Watch
Legislative Action
COVER STORY: Interview With Nancy Pelosi
The New Playing Field
ACEC Roundtable
State of the Art & More
Insurance Calm Before the Storm
Special Insert: IBM Course Catalog
BRAC 2005: The Challenge
Building a Learning Culture
Business Insights
ACEC Annual Convention Primer
Across The Federation
Members in the News
One On One
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Cover1
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Cover2
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Table of Contents
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - From ACEC To You
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 3
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - News & Notes
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 5
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Market Watch
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 7
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Legislative Action
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 9
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - COVER STORY: Interview With Nancy Pelosi
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 11
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - The New Playing Field
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 13
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - ACEC Roundtable
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 15
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - State of the Art & More
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 17
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 18
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 19
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 20
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 21
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Insurance Calm Before the Storm
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 23
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 24
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Special Insert: IBM Course Catalog
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-2
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-3
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-4
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-5
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-6
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-7
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-8
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-9
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-10
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-11
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-12
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-13
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-14
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-15
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-16
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-17
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-18
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-19
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-20
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-21
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-22
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-23
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - I-24
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 25
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - BRAC 2005: The Challenge
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 27
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 28
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 29
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Building a Learning Culture
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 31
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 32
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 33
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 34
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Business Insights
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - ACEC Annual Convention Primer
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 37
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Across The Federation
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 39
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 40
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 41
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Members in the News
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 43
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 44
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 45
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 46
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - 47
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - One On One
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Cover3
Engineering Inc. - January/February 2007 - Cover4
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