American Gas - February 2013 - (Page 13)
by the numbers
Recent reports show how natural gas is poised to become an even greater component in America’s energy mix,
with North America becoming a net energy exporter—a watershed event in the history of our energy industry. t
U.S. DRY NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION
North America is poised to become a net energy exporter by 2025,
according to ExxonMobil’s new report, Outlook for Energy: A View to
2040. The growing supply of domestic energy resources will create
significant economic benefits for North American economies, the report
Trillion Cubic Feet
30
Shale gas
2025
2030
2035
2040
IN-COUNTRY
SUPPLIES
2010
113
IN-COUNTRY
SUPPLIES
COUNTRY
IMPORTS
EUROPE
IN-COUNTRY
SUPPLIES
2025
IN-COUNTRY
SUPPLIES
2010
NORTH
AMERICA
120
REGIONAL
IMPORTS
REGIONAL
EXPORTS
REGIONAL
IMPORTS
2040
Quadrillion BTU’S
REGIONAL
IMPORTS
121
REGIONAL ENERGY BALANCES
REGIONAL
EXPORTS
ASIA
316
2020
277
2015
217
2010
2010
2005
OF THE
WORLD
316
2000
2040
1995
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release
2025 82
0
1990
Information Administration’s Annual Energy Outlook
2013 makes clear (left).
2040
Alaska
Coalbed methane
Associated with oil
Non-associated onshore
5
2025
Tight gas
201
Non-associated
offshore
2010 81
10
consumers with more product choices, job opportunities, and wealth (below).
What will be behind the shift from imports to exports?
Soaring production of shale gas, as the U.S. Energy
REST
289
20
15
says. This new paradigm will create fresh opportunities for global trade
with countries in Europe and the Asia Pacific region and provide
2011
25
2025
35
PROJECTIONS
2040 77
HISTORY
NATURAL GAS CONSUMPTION
Source: ExxonMobil, Outlook for Energy, 2012
PROJECTIONS
HISTORY
Natural gas demand over the next couple of decades will
grow faster than previously expected, according to the U.S.
Energy Information Administration.
30
In its Annual Energy Outlook for 2013, the EIA says it will up
its estimate for natural gas consumption in 2035 by 12
percent over last year’s forecast. Electric power, industrial,
15
INDUSTRIAL*
10
GAS TO LIQUIDS
TRANSPORTATION**
COMMERCIAL
25
5
and transportation use will drive the demand growth.
0
PROJECTIONS
HISTORY
OTHER
RENEWABLES
GAS
COAL
32%
23%
44%
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
NUCLEAR
2004
2005
2011
2020
2025
2030
2035
2045
Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Early Release
Natural gas is also poised to gain substantial market share as a
baseload fuel source for power generation in the next five years—
mostly at the expense of coal, says a new forecast by Bentek
Energy, an energy market analytics company. “The shift will
kickstart a new symbiotic
38%
2003
RESIDENTIAL
*Includes combined heat-and-power and lease and plant fuel
**Includes pipeline fuel
FUEL MARKET SHARE FORECAST
% of Total Generation
ELECTRIC POWER
20
gas cycle in which gas
supply and demand
+9%
percentage change
-6%
percentage change
growth are more
codependent and
correlated,” Bentek
said in the report.
Source: BENTEK Energy, Power Jump-Starts New Gas Market Cycle, 2012
february 2013 American Gas
13
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of American Gas - February 2013
American Gas - February 2013
Table of Contents
President’s Message
Subject Index
Supplanting Coal, Creating Jobs
Digest
Issues
Updates
Need to Know
By the Numbers
People and Places
Fill ‘er Up—in the Driveway
Europe
State House
City Hall
Wall Street
Elm Street
On the Docket
Profile: Philip B. Jones
Law
Jobs
Buyer’s Guide: Meters
Marketplace
Headway
American Gas - February 2013
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