Crains New York - July 29, 2013 - (Page 12)
OPINION
So many jobs, and
no boom in sight
N
ew York City added more jobs in the first half of
this year than in any similar period since 2000.
Remember 2000? Well, this year is nothing like
that year. Welcome to the diversified New York,
which no longer relies on Wall Street. Maybe
diversification is not all it is hyped up to be.
Office rents jumped by a third in 2000, to more than $50 a
square foot.The average apartment back then cost $531,000,up
20% in just 12 months. Internet
almost-billionaire Kevin O’Connor
decided to move to the Upper West
Side, which was slightly cheaper
than the Upper East Side.The year’s
Zagat Guide listed 300 new restaurants. Eight museums opened.
Wall Street showered money on
its traders and investment bankers.
Harry Winston thought the pickings
were so easy that it rented a restaurant in the financial district to show
off diamond-encrusted watches and
five-carat engagement rings, sure it
could sell quite a few.
The rest of the city benefited,
too. Wages for administrative assistants topped $50,000, and fast-food
restaurants were rapidly increasing
GREG DAVID
pay to lure workers. The unemployment rate was just over 5%.
The story in 2013 is very different.
Midtown office rents are stagnant,
THE BIG PICTURE FOR NYC
2000
2013
with the only increases comproducing large numbers of
ing in tech-favored midjobs yet on its own, nor is
Six-month job gain
61,000
60,700
town south. Major office
tech-firm spending cascadTotal number of jobs
3.74M
3.97M
projects on the West Side
ing through the city,as hapUnemployment rate
5.4%
8.7%
and at the World Trade
pened in 2000. Someday,
Center lack corporate tentech may replace Wall
WAGES AND WALL STREET
ants willing to take large
Street, but that day isn’t
blocks of space.Despite broAverage wage
$59,103
$80,468
here.Worse, the digital revker hype, apartment prices
olution is the primary cause
Average Wall Street wage
$242,193 $360,670
are up only modestly except
of the near-implosion of
Wall Street % of all wages
21.6%
19.6%
for those ultra-expensive
other areas, like publishing.
units being sold to foreignMeanwhile, Wall Street
SIX-MONTH JOB GROWTH BY SECTOR
ers. Luxury retailing is in
can best be described as
2000
2013
large part supported by
stagnant as it adapts to new
tourists. And fast-food
regulation and difficult
Business services 20,900 Education, health 24,600
workers are striking because
markets. Total wages in the
Information
13,400 Leisure, hospitality 13,100
they are being paid only the
securities sector have
Education, health 10,300 Construction
7,900
minimum wage.
plunged by $15 billion in
This is not a boom dethe past four years. That’s a
Government
5,500 Retail
6,200
spite the strong job growth,
big number,and it has hamRetail
4,900 Business services 5,800
which has pushed the total
pered the city economy any
Financial
4,800 Financial
3,300
number of jobs to a new
way you try to look at it.
record. Why?
The cliché that applies is
Leisure, hospitality 3,900 Wholesale trade
2,600
The answer lies in the
the one about the glass beConstruction
2,900 Manufacturing
-700
diversification of the econing half-empty or half-full.
Wholesale trade
-2,000 Information
-1,100
omy, as the accompanying
Compared with the rest of
charts show. A decade and
the country, New York is
Manufacturing
-6,200 Government
-5,400
a half ago, Wall Street work
doing very well indeed.The
Sources: Independent Budget Office, NYS Labor Department, Eastern Consolidated
Note: 2000 wages are not adjusted for inflation.
had legal, accounting and
2000 boom (as well as a
consulting firms struggling
similar one in 2007) led to a
to keep up, and they responded by high-paying jobs.
painful crash no one wants to repeat.
adding thousands of high-paying
This time,it’s about education and
But the economy has thrived in
jobs. Information was booming not health, tourism and retail. Now, the the past for all New Yorkers because
just because of tech firms but also idea that these are all low-wage occu- of the trickle-down effects of Wall
because their ad spending was mak- pations isn’t true, but they don’t pay Street. We live with the conseing life rosy for publishing and like finance or professional jobs. The quences when the city’s most imbroadcasting. All these were very growth of tech is real, but it just isn’t portant industry takes a back seat.
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12 | Crain’s New York Business | July 29, 2013
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Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Crains New York - July 29, 2013
IN THE BOROUGHS
IN THE MARKETS
THE INSIDER
BUSINESS PEOPLE
OPINION
ALAIR TOWNSEND
GREG DAVID
REPORT: FOOD BUSINESS
FOR THE RECORD
REAL ESTATE DEALS
CLASSIFIEDS
NEW YORK, NEW YORK
SOURCE BREAKFAST
OUT AND ABOUT
SNAPS
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