AAIA Factbook 2010 - (Page 18)

u.s. MoTor vehICle afTerMarkeT Taking the U. S. economy into account with widely fluctuating gasoline prices, reduced miles driven, tightening credit markets and growing unemployment, the U.S. motor vehicle aftermarket end-user sales in 2008 were about even with the previous year rising only 0.2 percent from the previous year. As the recession takes hold of consumer spending, a decline of 1.3 percent is anticipated for the 2009 calendar year followed by a rebound of 4.5 percent in 2010. size of the u.s. Motor vehicle aftermarket (billions of Consumer Dollars) Original Model (based on 1997 Census) Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 CAGR(‘97-02) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 CAGR(‘02-07) 2007 2008 2009 2010 CAGR(‘07-10) Notes: Updated Model (with 1997 and 2002 Census) Yr ./Yr . % Chg . 2.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.9% 3.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.6% 5.0% 2.8% 4.0% 4.0% 1.8% Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 CAGR(‘97-02) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 CAGR(‘02-07) 2007 2008 2009* 2010* CAGR(‘07-10) Automotive $138.8 $141.8 $148.7 $157.2 $166.4 $178.1 5.1% $178.1 $182.2 $187.9 $194.9 $202.4 $209.9 3.3% $209.9 $210.2 $207.6 $216.9 1.1% Medium and Heavy Duty $53.4 $55.3 $58.6 $61.5 $60.9 $61.8 3.0% $61.8 $62.8 $63.8 $65.6 $68.8 $70.3 2.6% $70.3 $70.5 $69.5 $72.7 1.1% Total Aftermarket $192.2 $197.1 $207.3 $218.7 $227.3 $239.9 4.5% $239.9 $245.0 $251.7 $260.5 $271.2 $280.2 3.2% $280.2 $280.7 $277.1 $289.6 1.1% Yr ./Yr . % Chg . 2.6% 5.2% 5.5% 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 3.3% 3.3% 0.2% -1.3% 4.5% Automotive $138.8 $141.8 $148.7 $157.2 $166.4 $173.9 4.6% $173.9 $181.2 $187.9 $196.5 $201.5 $211.4 4.0% $211.4 $215.5 n/a n/a n/a Medium and Heavy Duty $53.4 $55.3 $58.6 $61.5 $60.9 $61.5 2.9% $61.5 $62.1 $66.5 $70.6 $73.0 $74.1 3.8% $74.1 $75.2 n/a n/a n/a Total Aftermarket $192.2 $197.1 $207.3 $218.7 $227.3 $235.4 4.1% $235.4 $243.3 $254.4 $267.1 $274.5 $285.5 3.9% $285.5 $290.7 n/a n/a n/a * Forecast Historical data have been revised. Figures do not include warranty work. Source: AAIA Channel Forecast Model growth rate of the u.s. Motor vehicle aftermarket (Percent Change from Previous year) 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% 0% 2.6% 5.5% 5.2% 3.9% 5.6% 4.5% 5.6% 4.5% 3.5% 4.1% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 3.3% 3.2% 3.3% -1.3% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 CAGR 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 CAGR 2007 2008 2009* 2010* CAGR ('97-02) ('02-07) ('07-10)* * Forecast AAIA Channel Forecast Model Note: Source: 18 2 0 1 0 d i g i t a l a f t e r ma rk et f a ctb o o k c op y r i g h t © 2 0 0 9 a uto mo ti ve a f terma rk et i ndustry associat ion http://pages.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/mercury/aaiafactbook2010/docs/Page_18_U.S._Motor_Vehicle_Aftermarket.xls

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of AAIA Factbook 2010

AAIA Factbook 2010
Contents
Economic and Financial Indicators
Key Economic Indicators
Aftermarket Employment
Technician Employment and Wages
Aftermarket Mergers and Acquisitions
Financial Profiles of Selected Aftermarket Companies
U S Motor Vehicle Aftermarket
Channel Forecast Model
Census Review and Forecast Assumptions
U.S. Motor Vehicle Aftermarket
Size of the Automotive Aftermarket
Aftermarket Sales by Distribution Channel
Aftermarket Service and Retail Channels
Program Distribution Summary
Automotive Aftermarket
Consumer Profile
Sales of Replacement Tires
Replacement Rates for Motor Vehicle Parts and Jobs
Accessories
Aftermarket Accessories
Chemicals and Fluids
Automotive Chemicals and Fluids
Aftermarket Segments
Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Aftermarket
Paint, Body and Equipment Aftermarket
Tool and Equipment Aftermarket
Vehicle Sales, Usage and Registrations
U.S. Motor Vehicle Sales
Top 10 Light Vehicle Sales
U.S. Motor Vehicle Population
Hybrid Vehicles
Vehicle Operating Costs
Gasoline Affordability and Vehicle Miles Traveled
State Summary Statistics
State Summary Statistics
Global Aftermarket
Global Economic and Automotive Data
Global Vehicle Registrations
Canadian Aftermarket
Mexican Aftermarket
Chinese Aftermarket
Glossary and Reference
Glossary of Aftermarket Terms
NAICS Definitions
Aftermarket Data Resources
Aftermarket Data Resources
AAIA Market Research
AAIA Market Research
AAIA – Lang Market Comparison
Harmonization of Aftermarket Industry Data

AAIA Factbook 2010