Aftermarket Insider Issue 82 - (Page 4)
12
Aftermarket
Digital
Factbook 2014:
Automotive Aftermarket Industry Growth
Compared to GDP Forecast
5%
$4.0
$3.5
% change
4%
$3.0
Industry Yr./Yr %Chg
$2.5
3%
$2.0
GDP Yr./Yr % Chg
2%
1%
5%
% change
$3.5
Industry Yr./Yr %Chg
2013
2014
2015
2016
$0.5
$3.0
Industry 5-yr CAGR: 3.4%
4%
2011 3% 2012
$0.0
$2.5
$2.0
GDP Yr./Yr % Chg
2%
$1.5 $1.22
$1.0
1%
GDP 5-yr CAGR: 2.7%
0%
$1.0
$4.0
GDP 5-yr CAGR: 2.7%
0%
Gasoline
$1.5
(Price Per
Automotive Aftermarket Industry Growth
Compared to GDP Forecast
2011
2012
$0.5
Industry 5-yr CAGR: 3.4%
2013
2014
2015
$0.0
2016
1980
Years
Years
% change
The Automotive Aftermarket Industry • AnIndustry Growth Forecast Age of Cars andU. S. Trade Data
• A new Light Trucks in
Note: Price rep
Gasoline Prices, 1980-2012Use,
Automotive Aftermarket extended Industry Average
Source: U.S. D
http://www.eia
Association (AAIA) just released GDP Forecast
through 2016 by IHS Global Insight; (Price Per by Country; and
table Gallon)
Compared to
1999-2013
its flagship online 5%
publications,
12 Retail
• An updated Program and
$4.0 • A new summary of the Chinese
3.25
the Digital Aftermarket Factbook
Distribution Summary by Advanstar; Age of Cars and Light Trucks in Use,
Automotive Aftermarket
$3.5
Annual
Average
2014 and the Digital Aftermarket
4%
(Trillions
1999-2013 by Technomic Asia.
Industry Yr./Yr Map 11
2.75
Factbook & Lang Annual 2014. This • A new Channel%Chg including 12 $3.0
3.25
$2.5 “AAIA makes every effort to exceed
e-commerce and e-tailing
3%
year’s market intelligence resources
by Ducker Worldwide;
$2.0 our members’ expectations in all$1.52 2.75 2.25
10
GDP Yr./Yr % Chg
feature new and enhanced content.
11
2%
areas, especially with these flagship
$1.22
$1.5 $1.22
• An expanded M & A section
Light Trucks
10
2.25
New value-added content highlights
$1.0 market intelligence publications,” said
9
by BB&T Capital Markets;
1.75
Passenger Cars
1%
Kathleen Schmatz, AAIA president
in this year’s edition include: CAGR: 2.7%
Light Trucks
$0.5
All Light Vehicles
GDP 5-yr
Industry “State of the
1.75 1.55
• A new 5-yr CAGR: 3.4% Industry” 9
Passenger Cars
and CEO. “We continue to evolve
0%
$0.0
• U.S. Economic update
All Light Vehicles
8
1.25
summary from Babcox Media;
our
to our
2011
2015
2016
1980 Factbook in response 2013 2000 1.25
1990
2012
2013
2014
8
1999
by Dr. Timothy Nash,
members’ needs, and strive to stay at
1978
• Updated vehicle registration
1999
2013
Note: Price represents the average price per gallon of gasoline, all grades, in current dollar
Northwood University;
the forefront Energy / Energy Information trends
Source: U.S. Department ofof key industry Administration (EIA) Note: Historica
tables and graphics by Polk;
Sources: AAIA
http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/PET_PRI_GND_DCUS_NUS_A.htm
and information. In addition to the
Age Mix of Vehicles in Year Range Categories
Annual Miles Driven
Age Mix of Vehicles in Year Range Categories
(Trillions of Miles)
Average Age of Cars and Light Trucks in Use,
1999-2013
12
100%
100%
80%
80%
11
Years
Among the positive
market drivers is
the oldest-ever
average vehicle age
of 11.3 years, and
the overall age mix
of vehicles (p. 61)
which continues to
favor older vehicles.
60%
60%
10
40%
9
Apr-12
8
1999
Light Trucks
Passenger Cars
20%
All Light Vehicles
May-12
3.25
2.75
40%
20%
0%
8
5-Yr. CAGR
0-5 yrs:
-6.5%
6-10 yrs:
-1.3%
5-Yr. CAGR
11+ yrs:
3.9%
2.42
Total 0-5 yrs:
VIO: -0.2% -6.5%
6-10 yrs:
11+ yrs:
Total VIO:
2.25
-1.3%
3.9%
-0.2%
6
4
2
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1.75 1.55
VIO (11+ yrs)
Jun-12
VIO (6 to 10 yrs)
VIO (0 to 5 yrs)
Jul-12
Only includes 1961 year models and newer. Early 2012 year models excluded.
1.25
0%
Source: Average1978
age calculated from R. L. Polk & Co.'s NVPP® database as of January 1, 2013.
1995
2013
© 2013, L. Polk &
Reproduction in whole 2011
2006 2007 R.2008 Co.2009 2010 or in part is prohibited without2013permission of
2012 written
R. L. Polk & Co., 248-728-7000, www.polk.com.
VIO (11+ yrs)
4 | AFTERMARKET INSIDER | VOLUME 82
Note: Historical data have been revised
VIO (6 to Department of Transportation /5 yrs) Highway Administration, Dece
VIO (0 to Federal
Sources: AAIA, U.S.10 yrs)
Only includes 1961 year models and newer. Early 2012 year models excluded.
8
Source: Average age calculated from R. L. Polk & Co.'s NVPP® database as of January 1, 2013.
© 2013, R. L. Polk & Co. Reproduction in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of
6
http://www.aftermarket.org/ProductPull/Publications.aspx
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Aftermarket Insider Issue 82
Aftermarket Insider Issue 82
Contents
President’s Message
Segment News
Essential Information
Company Profile
Government Affairs
Member Profile
Toolbox
Inside Technology
Software Piracy in the Aftermarket
Head of the Class
Market Intelligence
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