Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 31
odds aren't insurmountably long-one in
five or one in 10, at worst-by choosing a fund
at random. But that's misleading in that it
overlooks evidence suggesting that only about
two thirds of funds will even remain in the
same category in five years, while the other
third will depart because of category changes,
merger, or liquidation (as shown in Exhibit 1).
The point isn't that picking outperformers is a
hopeless endeavor; it's that investors might set
themselves up to fail simply by setting
their sights too narrowly to account for the
possibility of category changes. Put another
way, if they knew just how long the odds
were after accounting for that possibility, they
might seek an approach that gave them a
better chance at succeeding, such as constructing
broader peer groups.
Use Bigger Bricks
Our research suggests that funds move around
in the normal course, making it somewhat
unrealistic to expect an investment to " stay at
home. " This has implications for investors
who build portfolios brick by brick, assuming
that the funds they choose will remain true
to the style advertised. For example, they might
want to think more expansively about the role a
fund could play in a portfolio, which in turn
could argue for owning fewer funds in simpler,
easier-to-manage portfolios.
Flexible Ranking
Our research seems to confirm that mutual fund
categories are dynamic, with funds regularly
entering and exiting peer groups because of
category reclassification, merger, or liquidation.
This can muddy comparisons of even seemingly
similar funds and has implications on the
way researchers evaluate relative performance
and other attributes. In light of this finding,
it's worthwhile to consider other, more-flexible
ways of ranking funds and think more
USCI-tombstone-ad-halfpg-cmyk.pdf 1 6/27/11 2:45 PM
About Morningstar
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fee-based advisors the resources of an
independent, experienced investment
team. The team's range of customizable stock,
ETF, and mutual fund portfolios is guided
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well-recognized research of Morningstar, Inc.
For more information, visit http://global.
morningstar.com/mis or call +1 877 751-4208.
expansively about peer groups and
portfolio construction. K
Jeffrey Ptak, CFA, is president and chief investment
officer of Morningstar Investment Services.
C
M
Y
CM
MY
CY
CMY
K
MorningstarAdvisor.com 31
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Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011
Contents
Contributors
Letter From the Editor
Simplicity and Design Matter
Do You Use ETFs Strategically or Tactically?
The Institutional Way
How to Analyze an ETF
Eyeing ETFs’ Next Chapter
Small-Cap/Large-Cap Flip-Flop?
Four Picks for the Present
Investment Briefs
Morningstar Investment Conference
Pitfalls of Peer Groups
A REIT Recovery, With a Catch
Turning Fund Distribution on Its Head
Here Come ETF Managed Portfolios
Circle These Picks Amid the Crop of New ETFs
ETF Analyst Favorites
Beware, the Accidental Portfolio Manager
It’s the Destination, Not the Vehicle
New Growth, Rooted in Experience
Better Ways to Look at ETFs
How to Better Manage Your Clients’ Future(s)
More Bargain Than Bubble
Cheap, Local, and On a Roll
Mutual Fund Analyst Picks
50 Most Popular ETFs
Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
First-Quarter Assets Hit an All-Time High
You Say You Want a Revolution?
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Intro
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Cover2
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 1
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 2
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Contents
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 4
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 5
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Contributors
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Letter From the Editor
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Simplicity and Design Matter
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 9
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Do You Use ETFs Strategically or Tactically?
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 11
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - The Institutional Way
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 13
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - How to Analyze an ETF
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 15
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Eyeing ETFs’ Next Chapter
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 17
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Small-Cap/Large-Cap Flip-Flop?
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 19
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Four Picks for the Present
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 21
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Investment Briefs
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 23
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 24
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 25
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Morningstar Investment Conference
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 27
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Pitfalls of Peer Groups
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 29
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 30
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 31
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - A REIT Recovery, With a Catch
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 33
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 34
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 35
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 36
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 37
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Turning Fund Distribution on Its Head
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 39
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Here Come ETF Managed Portfolios
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 41
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Circle These Picks Amid the Crop of New ETFs
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - ETF Analyst Favorites
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Beware, the Accidental Portfolio Manager
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 45
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - It’s the Destination, Not the Vehicle
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 47
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 48
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 49
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 50
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 51
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 52
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 53
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - New Growth, Rooted in Experience
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 55
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 56
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 57
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Better Ways to Look at ETFs
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 59
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 60
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 61
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - How to Better Manage Your Clients’ Future(s)
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 63
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 64
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 65
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - More Bargain Than Bubble
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 67
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Cheap, Local, and On a Roll
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 69
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Mutual Fund Analyst Picks
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 71
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 72
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 73
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 50 Most Popular ETFs
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 75
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Undervalued Stocks With Wide Moats
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 77
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - First-Quarter Assets Hit an All-Time High
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - 79
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - You Say You Want a Revolution?
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Cover3
Morningstar Advisor - August/September 2011 - Cover4
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