NFPA Journal - Fall 2021 - 61
VIEWPOINTS ON FIRE
AND LIFE SAFETY
Hillsborough soccer stadium disaster
in 1989 to the Love Parade music festival
crowd crush in 2010 to the crowd
crush that killed more than 700 people
during the annual Hajj pilgrimage
near Mecca, Saudi Arabia, in 2015. The
only surprise is that people still claim
that no one could have imagined it
would happen to them.
The risk calculation widely used by
people who think about such things
is risk = vulnerability x consequences,
where vulnerability to a hazard and
the foreseeable consequences of harm
from that hazard are each assigned a
value from one to five. Risk managers
use this rather blunt instrument, with
its thin veneer of mathematical objectivity,
to help assign scarce resources
to mitigate some combination of the
most likely and consequential risks.
But the Lag B'Omer crowd crush
presents a much more fundamental
challenge to the way we think about
risk. What if the participants at an
event do not perceive their vulnerability
in the same manner as the event
organizers?
Tribal risk identity
On April 29, hours before the disaster,
Israel's interior minister, Aryeh Deri,
bragged to a religious radio station
that he had successfully prevented
Health Ministry officials from limiting
the number of attendees over coronavirus
fears. Deri lamented that the
ministry did not grasp that celebration
attendees would be protected by the
spiritual influence of Rabbi Shimon
Bar Yochai, the second-century sage
commemorated at the festival.
" The government clerks don't understand, "
he said. " This is a holy day, and
the largest gathering of Jews [each
year]. " Bad things, he suggested, don't
happen to Jews on religious pilgrimage:
" One should trust in Rabbi
Shimon in times of distress. "
The participants' sense of tribal
invulnerability was coupled with
NFPA .ORG/JOURNAL * NFPA JOURNAL | 61
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NFPA Journal - Fall 2021
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of NFPA Journal - Fall 2021
Contents
NFPA Journal - Fall 2021 - Cover1
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NFPA Journal - Fall 2021 - Contents
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