The Pellucid Perspective - November 2015 - (Page 9)
Golf weather
impact
IBM buys parent of The Weather Channel:
Why you should pay attention
By Stuart lindsay
"t
he future of weather got a lot more interesting this
week. On Wednesday (10/28/15), IBM announced
its purchase of the Weather Company's digital and
data assets, a deal that the Wall Street Journal valued at more
than $2 billion." Slate, Eric Holthaus, October 29, 2015.
This is actually simply another indication that weather data
is moving more front and center as a core component of overall
business decision making analytics. The Slate article cites the
acquisition of Climate Corp. by Monsanto in 2013. A little
closer to home, our partners at Weatherbank and their vast
warehouse of historical data and extensive forecasting expertise
were acquired by Accuweather earlier in 2015.
OK, I'll admit it - I am a weather nerd. My entire working
career has been spent in weather dependent businesses, first in
farm and outdoor power equipment and in the golf industry
for the past 25 years. The Weather Channel became a regular
part of my viewing habits in the early 80's and as the internet
developed in the 90's, I started using Accuweather because their
website loaded faster, was easier to use and their long range
forecasts seemed better. We would normally get nervous about
an acquisition, but our excellent working relationship with
WeatherBank has continued and will be enhanced through the
association with Accuweather.
You should be interested, too.
2016 is going to be an interesting
weather year.
"The waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean are heating up, scientists say, building towards a strong
El Niño event that could rival the
intensity of the record 1997 event
that wreaked weather-related
havoc across the globe...." CNN,
October 23, 2015
"Synopsis: There is an approximately 95% chance that
El Niño will continue through
Northern Hemisphere winter
2015-16, gradually weakening
through spring 2016." Across
the United States, temperature
and precipitation impacts from
El Niño are likely to be seen during the upcoming months (the
3-month seasonal outlook was to
be updated on Thursday, October
15th). Outlooks generally favor
www.PellucidCorp.com
below-average temperatures and above-median precipitation
across the southern tier of the United States, and above-average
temperatures and below-median precipitation over the northern tier of the United States." National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, October 8, 2015
Typically, Jim Koppenhaver and I have concentrated on the
WeatherBank historical data to help us analyze golf course performance results. However, Jim does compile an annual forecast
for our State of the Industry presentation in Orlando and our
partners at WeatherBank have been pretty accurate down to our
45 region level. Also, one of our clients in Northern California
asked us if we had a forecast in light of everything he was hearing about El Nino.
We asked WeatherBank to put our proprietary jointly developed formula for Golf Playable Hours (GPH) through the raw
data for KSAC (Sacramento). Using actual data from January
- September, 2015 and their forecast through November, 2017;
we can see that there are some meaningful changes projected
(see graphic below).
KSAC doesn't usually see that much variation as you can
see for January, 2015, but the impact of El Nino will be significant over the next few months and into 2016 and 2017. The
Source: WeatherBank, Pellucid, edgehill
The Pellucid PersPecTive
9
http://www.PellucidcorP.com
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of The Pellucid Perspective - November 2015
TOC
Payment processing again – Have you inserted your chip card?
Members lose club over gender discrimination suit
NGF Suggests that 30M Golfers Was “A Bubble”
IBM buys parent of The Weather Channel: Why you should pay attention
Beverage cart really a goose laying golden eggs?
October golf weather impact: Neutral nationally, tough for Texas
Boston needs some ‘deflation’ in supply
Singing the blues in Memphis
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