The Pellucid Perspective - March 2020 - 13

Golf Playable Hours 2020 Monthy % Chng vs. Year Ago
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
YtD
21%
22% ________________________________________________________________________________________________
17% ________________________________________________________________________________________________
15%
11% ________________________________________________________________________________________________
9%

6% ________________________________________________________________________________________________
0% ________________________________________________________________________________________________
Source: Pellucid

In the above, we track the monthly and quarterly timeseries view of weather impact (measured by Golf Playable Hours or GPH) so
our readers can see how the year is playing out at the national level. Again, if you want the 45 regional, the 61 markets or individual
facility-specific figures, you can get those by subscribing either to the Pellucid Publications Membership program, the Geographical
Weather Impact reports or Cognilogic (individual facility down to daily level) at the Pellucid website.
The above chart shows us the continuing favorable "comps" in Jan-Feb weather which represent four consecutive months of 5%+
gains (looking back into '19). While it is only for half the country operating, the significantly more favorable winter weather performance (comparatively to the same months last year) has to be providing a boost to the revenue lines of the full season markets
and courses. That begs the obvious question early in the year of whether we'll see a continuation of this and, if so, how much of a
tailwind could weather provide in '20? If you want a look into our weather forecasting "crystal ball" for the year-end figure, you can
get that at facility level or for the 45 regions and national level by subscribing at the button links below:
Reports

US/Regions/Markets Weather Impact Tracking

Cognilogic Weather Impact Analysis

Utilization Rate 2020 Monthly Point Chng vs. Prior Full Year
YD
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
'- ________________________________________________________________________________________________
'(1.1) ________________________________________________________________________________________________
'(2.2) ________________________________________________________________________________________________
'(3.3) ________________________________________________________________________________________________
'(4.4) ________________________________________________________________________________________________
-4.4

Source: Golf Datatech & Pellucid

-4.4

The above chart represents a timeseries by month of Utilization change which we're sure that by now you all know is the resultant
of Played Rounds (demand) divided by Available Rounds (capacity). We compare each month back to the static prior Year End
figure (53%) to determine if we improved or lost utilization in the current month.
As outlined in the Utilization and Point Change section above, January logged a drop in Utilization as the favorable results in
rounds demand trailed the even more favorable weather. A timeseries view in January isn't very robust so we'll just leave it at that
and look for the February results and what pattern starts to emerge for '20.

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The Pellucid Perspective

13

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The Pellucid Perspective - March 2020

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