IEEE Power & Energy Magazine - November/December 2021 - 79

occurrences. Dynamic transmission limits require forecasts to
ensure the changing resource mix can be most efficiently used,
extracting the most possible out of a potentially constrained
transmission system.
Dynamic operating reserve requirements are forecast so that
sufficient quantities are ready when risk is high but reduced
when it is low to keep costs down. Finally, forecasts are required
to help anticipate extreme events that may have devastating
impacts on the power system. With a changing climate, forecasting
techniques will need to evolve to incorporate these shifting
conditions from the planning to operating timeframe.
The Integration of Renewable Energy
Into Market Operation
Increasingly, renewable energy generation assets are asked
to participate in electricity markets and compete against
Remote Sensing
Onsite Data
Offsite Data
Accuracy
(Percent Forecast Skill
Improvement)
1
Weather Modeling and
Forecasting
a
Renewable Energy
Source Power
Forecasting Models
2
Collaborative Forecasting and Data Markets
3
4
Decision-Aid Models
d
c
b
Power System
Forecast
Value
Operational Planning
Electricity Market
(Profit Increase and
Renewable Energy
Source Maximum)
Need for Business Cases That Show
Uncertainty Forecast Value to Industry
Legend
Bottlenecks in the Connection
1 Lack of Open Data (Privacy Issues)
2 Lack of Price-Based Incentives to Share Data
3 Accuracy Remaining Low and Lack of Standardization
4 Open Loop Between Use of Forecasts and
Generation
Bottlenecks in the Models
a
b
c
d
Need for Numerical Weather Prediction Products
Adapted to Renewable Energy Source Use Cases
Limitation of Models to Exploit Large and
Heterogeneous Data
Decaying Commercial Value of Forecast Products
Need for Models Adequate in High-Renewable Energy
Source Integration Scenarios and Digitalization
of the Energy Sector
figure 1. The current bottlenecks of the renewable energy forecasting value/model chain. (Source: Smart4RES project;
used with permission.)
november/december 2021
ieee power & energy magazine
79

IEEE Power & Energy Magazine - November/December 2021

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of IEEE Power & Energy Magazine - November/December 2021

Contents
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