Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 4
SUPPLIER EYE
Enter the dragon
Those playing in the global automotive field
have to keep their eyes on various new 'curve
balls' that are winding their way toward home
plate. Among them are the ever-present trade
'discussions' surrounding the U.S.-China relationship, steel and aluminum tariffs and the ongoing
instability of Brexit. Behind the scenes, however,
another potentially more impactful force is
building that will invariably alter the industry's
trajectory: China's emergence as a major manufacturing base.
More than the largest single vehicle market
and the home to more vehicle-making OEMs
than any other country, China's role in shaping
automotive strategy is industry-critical.
Even the occasional observer understands
China's impact, with more than 26 million light
vehicles forecast to be built in 2019 according to
IHS Markit, accounting for 28% of global volume.
Despite the vehicle demand issues which have
plagued China since late last year, the market is
slated to rise to almost 34 million units by
2025-nearly a third of global output.
From a strategic perspective, OEMs and suppliers cannot ignore a third of any market.
Understanding this, China yields significant sway
not only from a volume perspective-though it
now drives scale economies and steers investment trajectory towards increased levels of electric propulsion to support compliance. Beyond
the volume dynamics, China now is clearing a
global path.
OEMs must now prioritize China's impact
within their global strategy. By 2025, IHS Markit
fully expects that more than 35% of both
General Motors and Volkswagen Group's global
output will emanate from China. With this as a
backdrop, one now understands the significant
investments in both electrification and mobility
that these and other global OEMs are funneling
Michael Robinet
Managing Director
IHS Markit
michael.robinet
@ihsmarkit.com
A growing
roster of
Chinese
companies
are already
playing an
influential role
in the global
automotive
supply chain.
Challenge or
opportunity?
towards these growth technologies. Ensuring
success in China is at the forefront.
This ability to influence future technology direction also allows for the formation of stronger
domestic OEMs and suppliers-using scale and
innovation to expand beyond China's borders.
The best example is Geely, whose collection of
brands (including Volvo) and collaboration with
Daimler-and with sights firmly affixed on growth
inside and outside of China-make it a force.
Other China-based OEMs are slated to eclipse a
million global units into the next decade. These
include BAIC, Changan, Great Wall and SAIC.
A host of new BEV players-NIO, Byton, SF
Motors and scores of other startups-are using
China's NEV (New Electric Vehicle) regulation to
underpin their future moves.
The supplier side also is gaining steam. Key
players such as Minth (exteriors), Fuyao (glass),
Joyson (combining Key Safety and the former
Takata), Nexteer (chassis), Yapp (fuel systems),
Yanfeng (interior systems), CATL (batteries) and
even innovative tiered players such as robotics
maker Kuka, are already playing an influential
role. Chinese-owned suppliers have established
multi-sector capabilities on a global scale, driven
by innovation, efficiency and increasingly, quality.
Government's regulatory support to legislate
increased levels of electrified propulsion into the
2020s also will provide a growth platform for
other optimized systems such as HVAC, suspension, structures, ADAS and other core systems.
A third of the global market, with improved execution and the formation of several capable
OEMs and suppliers, underscores the need for
the industry to take seriously China's influence.
Smart suppliers need to integrate a strategy
that strongly considers China's regulatory direction, growing OEM base and globally-capable
suppliers. They cannot afford to do otherwise.
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
China Light Vehicle Production (mil) 1.9
Global Share
3.3%
5.2
8.2%
16.8
22.6%
23.7
26.7%
30.6
30.1%
33.7
30.5%
35.5
31.2%
4 June 2019
AUTOMOTIVE ENGINEERING
Automotive Engineering - June 2019
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Automotive Engineering - June 2019
Automotive Engineering - June 2019
Contents
Editorial: The unforgettable pyramid on the hood
Supplier Eye
Technology Report
Road Ready
NVH 2019
Paradigm shift in NVH
How a Tier 2 tackles NVH
Reducing NVH through refined powertrain measurement
Foam for NVH solutions
Long time coming: 2020 Corvette
Protecting high-voltage circuits
Product Briefs
Reader Feedback
Companies Mentioned, Ad Index
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Intro
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - BB1
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - BB2
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Automotive Engineering - June 2019
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Cover2
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Contents
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Editorial: The unforgettable pyramid on the hood
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 3
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Supplier Eye
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 5
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Technology Report
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 7
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 8
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 9
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 10
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 11
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Road Ready
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 13
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 14
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 15
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - NVH 2019
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 17
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 18
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 19
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Paradigm shift in NVH
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 21
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - How a Tier 2 tackles NVH
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 23
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Reducing NVH through refined powertrain measurement
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 25
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Foam for NVH solutions
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 27
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Long time coming: 2020 Corvette
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 29
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 30
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 31
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 32
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 33
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Protecting high-voltage circuits
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 35
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Product Briefs
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 37
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Reader Feedback
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - 39
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Companies Mentioned, Ad Index
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Cover3
Automotive Engineering - June 2019 - Cover4
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