Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 7
SUPPLIER EYE
Propulsion Shift = Declining Supplier Value-Add
Today vs. Tomorrow
Supplier
~75% VA
Supplier
~45% VA
Supplier
~65% VA
OEM
OEM
OEM
Today - ICE
+10 Years - ICE
Today - BEV
OEM Supplier
ICE Value-Add
* Supplier value add assumed at ~65% of total for ICE vehicles
* Lower economies of scale and sector consolidation will drive inflation for ICE-only
systems in the future
BEV Value-Add
* OEMs benefit from technology and scale improvements
* OEMs control propulsion battery, software and e-drive value
Rather than commanding up to 70% of the value-add in an ICE vehicle, electrification is causing suppliers' share to fall well below 50% for
future vehicle programs.
ICE experience, sharing risk where required with
their OEM partners will enable these suppliers to
also shift into the electrified world.
Additionally, the BEV insourcing shift allows
OEMs to retain more of their employment levels
and ameliorate the unions to a degree. But for
suppliers, there is a real possibility of lower employment,
declining revenue share within the
next ecosystem, and increased sourcing risk.
OEMs are being careful to avoid vertical integration
of key systems which are well outside their
sphere of efficient execution. These will continue
to be seating, electronics, structures, thermal,
AUTOMOTIVE ENGINEERING
Supplier
influence,
control,
and in some
cases survival,
are in the
crosshairs.
chassis systems, interiors, material supply and
other systems.
Supplier influence, control - and in some cases,
survival - are in the crosshairs during this
transformation. Additionally, where a supplier
resides within the OEM-supplier tiering structure
may shift - forcing many to rethink their market
approach and structure. In the end, the ICE-toEV
shift is more than just swapping in a battery
and e-drive for an engine/transmission.
Suppliers on all tiers must redefine their business
strategy within the new dynamic. The
OEMs already have a game plan.
September 2022 7
Econ of scale
& technology
improvement
+10 Years - BEV
Supplier
~45% VA
OEM
S&P GLOBAL MOBILITY
Manufacturing Cost
Supplier ICE inflation
& regulatory costs
Automotive Engineering - September 2022
Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of Automotive Engineering - September 2022
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - Intro
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - Sponsor1
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVRA
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVRB
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVR1
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVR2
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 1
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 2
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 3
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 4
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 5
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 6
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 7
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 8
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 9
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 10
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 11
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 12
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 13
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 14
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 15
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 16
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 17
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 18
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 19
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 20
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 21
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 22
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 23
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 24
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 25
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 26
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 27
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 28
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 29
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 30
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 31
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 32
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 33
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - 34
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVR3
Automotive Engineering - September 2022 - CVR4
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