Milling & Baking News - March 27, 2007 - 16

crop at 1,261,000 bus, down 59,000 bus, projected harvested area of 155,000 acres turn of 18,605,000 bus. Harvested area
was projected at 693 million bus comor 4%, from 1,320,000 bus in 2006. He and an average yield of 47 bus per acre.
Virginia soft red production was pared with 305 million last year. Averprojected harvested area at 23,800 acres
projected at 10,065,000 bus, down age yield was projected at 55 bus per
and average yield at 53 bus per acre.
New York soft red winter wheat pro- 475,000 bus, or 5%, from 10,540,000 bus acre, down from 61 bus per acre last
duction was forecast by Mr. Blume at in 2006. Mr. Rogers projected Virginia year but above the recent five-year av2,291,000 bus, up 321,000 bus, or 16%, harvested area at 165,000 acres, with erage of 52.4 bus per acre.
Florida production was projected at
from 1,970,000 bus in 2006. He project- an average yield of 61 bus per acre.
John Bartels, commodity merchan- 264,000 bus, up 54,000 bus, or 26%, from
ed the state's soft white winter wheat
crop at 982,000 bus, down 2,669,000 diser, ConAgra Mills, Omaha, forecast 210,000 bus in 2006. Harvested area was
bus, or 73%, from 3,651,000 bus a year significant production gains across projected at 6,000 acres, with average
ago. Winter wheat harvested area (soft the Southern, Delta and Southwestern yield forecast at 46 bus per acre.
Georgia production was projected
red and soft white wheat combined) states compared with 2006. Planted area
was projected at 59,500 acres, and av- was up in each state. Mr. Bartels forecast at 9,169,000 bus, up 3,289,000 bus,
erage winter wheat yield was forecast combined harvested area for the regions or 56%, from 5,880,000 bus a year
at 55 bus per acre. Mr. Blume said he at 1,837,000 acres, nearly double the ago. Harvested area was projected at
disagreed with the U.S.D.A.'s estimate 992,000 acres last year. He said wheat 167,000 acres, with an average yield of
of New York winter wheat planted conditions across the southern areas 55 bus per acre.
Soft red production in
area at 85,000 acres, sugLouisiana was forecast at
gesting plantings were
Soft red winter wheat production by state
10,319,000 bus, up 4,291,000
smaller than that estimate
bus, or 91%, from an estibecause of a very wet fall.
Harvested
Soft red
Change
mated 5,398,000 bus last
Mr. Blume projected
area
2007
2006
from
year. Harvested area was
the Pennsylvania crop at
(1,000 acres) Yield
(1,000 bus)
2006
projected at 202,000 acres,
8,935,000 bus, up 85,000
Ala.
60
55
3,289
2,610
26%
compared with 105,000 acres
bus, or 1%, from 8,850,000
Ark.
693
55
38,129
18,605
105%
in 2006. Average yield was
bus in 2006. Pennsylvania
Del.
52
65
3,361
3,015
11%
forecast at 51 bus per acre.
harvested area was proFla.
6
46
264
210
26%
Mr. Bartels projected
jected at 156,750 acres,
Ga
167
55
9,169
5,880
56%
Ill.
884
63
55,696
59,751
-7%
Mississippi wheat producwith an average yield foreInd.
390
60
23,400
31,740
-26%
tion at 11,467,000 bus, up
cast at 57 bus per acre.
Ky.
285
65
18,533
22,493
-18%
7,160,000 bus, or 166%,
Soft red winter wheat
La.
202
51
10,319
5,398
91%
from 4,307,000 bus in 2006.
production in the SouthMd.
191
63
12,039
8,500
42%
Harvested area was foreeastern states of North
Mich.
369
63
23,247
28,945
-20%
cast at 212,000 acres, comCarolina, South Carolina
Miss.
212
54
11,467
4,307
166%
pared with 73,000 in 2006.
and Virginia was expected
Mo.
869
54
46,902
46,192
2%
Mr. Bartels forecast average
to decline about 6% overN.J.
24
53
1,261
1,320
-4%
yield at 54 bus per acre.
all from 2006, said Patrick
N.Y.
42
55
2,291
1,970
16%
N.C.
440
52
22,880
24,780
-8%
Oklahoma soft red winRogers,
vice-president,
Ohio
830
64
53,120
65,280
-19%
ter production was prosales, Horizon Milling,
Okla.
55
35
1,922
816
136%
jected at 1,922,000 bus, up
L.L.C., Minneapolis. Mr.
Pa.
157
57
8,935
8,850
1%
1,106,000 bus from an estiRogers noted plantings inS.C.
155
47
7,285
6,150
18%
mated 816,000 bus in 2006.
creased slightly from 2006
Tenn.
249
55
13,668
12,160
12%
(Soft red comprises 1% of
but yields were expected
Texas
193
28
5,405
2,352
130%
the state's winter wheat
to be lower. He said many
Va.
165
61
10,065
10,540
-5%
outturn, which makes
plantings last fall were
W. Va.
6
56
336
366
-8%
year-to-year comparisons
made on marginal fields,
Wis.
247
59
14,013
17,402
-19%
difficult. Mr. Bartels estiparticularly in North CarU.S. total
6,943
57.2 396,996 390,165
2%
mate of Oklahoma 2007
olina. Given the high price
soft red production was
of corn, a question for the
Note: 2006 soft red production figures by state are estimated based on U.S.D.A.
1,796 million bus). Harregion was how much of
winter wheat production and acreage distribution by class estimates.
vested area was projected
the soft red winter crop
at 55,000 acres, with an avwould be fed. Mr. Rogers
pointed to large hog-feeding opera- seemed good at this point. He projected erage yield of 35 bus per acre.
Tennessee production was projected at
yields in some states down from a year
tions in the area.
Mr. Rogers projected North Caroli- ago, noting that yields in 2006 far ex- 13,668,000 bus, up 1,508,000 bus, or 12%,
from 12,160,000 bus in 2006. Harvested
na production of soft red winter wheat ceeded the five-year averages.
Mr. Bartels projected Alabama area was projected at 249,000 acres, with
at 22,880,000 bus, down 1,900,000 bus,
or 8%, from 24,780,000 bus in 2006. Mr. wheat production at 3,289,000 bus, up an average yield of 55 bus per acre.
Texas soft red winter wheat producRogers projected harvested area in the 679,000 bus, or 26%, from 2,610,000 bus
Tarheel state at 440,000 acres with an in 2006. Harvested area was forecast at tion was forecast at 5,405,000 bus, up
60,000 acres, with an average yield of 3,053,000 bus, or 130%, from an estimataverage yield at 52 bus per acre.
ed 2,352,000 bus in 2006. Harvested area
Soft red winter wheat production 55 bus per acre.
Arkansas production was projected was projected at 193,000 acres, compared
in South Carolina was projected at
7,285,000 bus, up 1,135,000 bus, or 18%, at 38,129,000 bus, up 19,524,000 bus, with 98,000 acres in 2006. Mr. Bartels profrom 6,150,000 bus last year. Mr. Rogers or more than double the year-ago out- jected average yield at 28 bus per acre. MBN
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Milling & Baking News

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Milling & Baking News - March 27, 2007

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