World Grain - June 2016 - 54

FEATURE: SUB-SAHARAN TAKING IN MORE WHEAT

North Africa/Sub-Saharan Africa wheat imports
(in million tonnes)

35

30

25

20

15

10

5
2024/25

2019/20

North Africa

Source: OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook, IGC, World Bank, USDA, Rabobank.

dependent on imports. Therefore, the
region is expected to continue to rely
on overseas trading partners to feed the
growing population in the coming decades, Rabobank said. The report noted
that, on average, West Africa imported
6.8 million tonnes of wheat per year durLQJWKHODVW¿YH\HDUVZKLFKDFFRXQWHG
for 5% of global trade.
"Interestingly, from 2008, we can also
observe growing exports to neighboring
countries, with West Africa showing even
higher export numbers than East Africa,"
Rabobank said. "This can mainly be explained by means of the re-exports to
landlocked countries in the region. As a
consequence, a so-called hub-and-spoke
network of wheat trade emerged. Within
this network, Lagos, Nigeria - with annual imports of over 4 million tonnes - is
the largest trading hub for wheat in the
western region of Africa."
Lagos is home of Flour Mills of
WEST AFRICA TRADE OPPORTUNITES
1LJHULDRQHRIWKHODUJHVWÀRXUPLOOLQJ
Because it lacks favorable climatic complexes in the world.
FRQGLWLRQV WR JURZ VLJQL¿FDQW DPRXQWV
Rabobank said that despite turmoil
of wheat locally, West Africa is heavily and political uncertainties in Nigeria,
54

2014/15

Sub-Saharan Africa

2009/10

2004/05

2000/01

According to the report, Africa accounts for 27% of wheat imports on
the global market, and in the last 15
years imports grew at a compound
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8%,
which is above the 3.3% global average. Over the next decade, Rabobank
said it expects SSA to have a CAGR
of 3%, compared to a global CAGR of
1.1%.
Currently, SSA wheat imports, at
21 million tonnes, lag behind those
of North Africa by around 5 million
tonnes. However, the gap is closing
quickly. SSA is expected import an
additional 9 to 11 million tonnes of
wheat per year in just one decade from
now, Rabobank said.
"Even though Egypt and Algeria
are the number one and two importers globally - with a combined volume
of 18 million tonnes - countries in the
east and west of Africa are continuing
to gain in importance," Rabobank said.
West Africa and East Africa will
contribute 71% of Africa's expected
population growth, or 315 million
people, the report said, while North
Africa is expected to account for only
13%, or 55 million people.
Another important driver is the increasing per capita consumption of
wheat, which will grow at a CAGR or
0.57% in SSA, according to the report.
"This growth is very different between North Africa and Sub-Saharan
Africa," Rabobank said. "In North
Africa, per capita wheat consumption is around 200 kilograms, and it
is saturated, while in SSA, per capita
consumption is only 31 kilograms,
but with continued strong growth.
A growing middle class and labor
force, along with the urbanization, are
slowly transforming the traditional
cooking styles toward easy-to-prepare
wheat-based foods, such as bread and
baked goods."

it expects the utilization of the hub
LQ /DJRV WR LQFUHDVH VLJQL¿FDQWO\ DV
Nigeria is expected to witness one of the
largest population growths in absolute
volume in the world.
Other main trade hubs for wheat
in Western Africa are Abidjan,
Cote d'Ivoire; Accra, Ghana; and
Dakar, Senegal, annually importing
510,000, 575,000 and 650,000 tonnes,
respectively.
"This hub-and-spoke model and the
huge volume growth of wheat will require the development of logistics infrastructure in Africa - in particular storage
facilities at ports and the comprehensive improvement of transport routes,"
5DEREDQNVDLG³7KHRYHUDOOGLI¿FXOWLHV
faced by the enabling environment and
the lack of ease of doing business in the
region can hamper these developments.
"However, in the past decade, progress has been made, and Transparency
International's Corruption Perceptions
Index has improved in the four countries with the highest wheat potential:
Nigeria, Ghana, Senegal and Cote
June 2016 / World Grain / www.World-Grain.com


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World Grain - June 2016

Table of Contents for the Digital Edition of World Grain - June 2016

World Grain - June 2016
Table of Contents
From the Editor-in-chief - Global flour data paints picture
Calendar of Events
Global Grain South America set for Argentina
News Review - Richardson doubles capacity of export terminal
GrainCorp earnings down in first half
ForFarmers goes public
Agrocorp purchasing Canadian grain handler
Wilmar’s net profit up in first quarter
Seaboard’s milling segment first-quarter income up
Kuban Agro’s annual net profit nearly doubles
ADM completes merchandising joint venture in Egypt
FEFAC council adopts vision for the feed industry in 2030
Molinos Rio de la Plata invests in oilseed facility
Joseph Ponte, professor with KSU Department of Grain Science and Industry, dies
Glencore agricultural production increases
AgSpring hires former Cargill executive
Juliot to join Ardent Mills in vice-president role
Marubeni’s food, consumer products profits up
Grains drive record handling at Port of Paranaguá
Ukraine sees record wheat harvest in 2015
Indofood first-quarter earnings increase
Grain Market Review - Rice
Country Focus - Paraguay
Feature - Grain Storage and Handling Projects
Feature - Wheat futures under pressure
Feature - Russia looks to boost grain production
Feature - Sub-Saharan Africa taking in more wheat
Zambia fighting to maintain surplus production status
Feature - VICTAM Asia 2016
Feature - Giving flour more power
A way to enhance flour sprouts up
Milling Operations - Key observations of a miller
Feature - Battle brewing on the border
Feature - Bringing innovation to market
Feature - Trading grain in a changed world
Feature - Organic acreage ascending
Private label, millennial markets offer organic opportunities
Feature - IAOM MEA district conference & expo
Supplier News
Product Showcase
World Grain Archive
Ad Index/Reader Information Form International Faxback Program
World Grain - June 2016 - World Grain - June 2016
World Grain - June 2016 - 2
World Grain - June 2016 - 3
World Grain - June 2016 - 4
World Grain - June 2016 - Table of Contents
World Grain - June 2016 - From the Editor-in-chief - Global flour data paints picture
World Grain - June 2016 - 7
World Grain - June 2016 - Global Grain South America set for Argentina
World Grain - June 2016 - 9
World Grain - June 2016 - GrainCorp earnings down in first half
World Grain - June 2016 - 11
World Grain - June 2016 - Wilmar’s net profit up in first quarter
World Grain - June 2016 - 13
World Grain - June 2016 - ADM completes merchandising joint venture in Egypt
World Grain - June 2016 - FEFAC council adopts vision for the feed industry in 2030
World Grain - June 2016 - Juliot to join Ardent Mills in vice-president role
World Grain - June 2016 - 17
World Grain - June 2016 - Grains drive record handling at Port of Paranaguá
World Grain - June 2016 - Indofood first-quarter earnings increase
World Grain - June 2016 - Grain Market Review - Rice
World Grain - June 2016 - 21
World Grain - June 2016 - Country Focus - Paraguay
World Grain - June 2016 - 23
World Grain - June 2016 - 24
World Grain - June 2016 - 25
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Grain Storage and Handling Projects
World Grain - June 2016 - 27
World Grain - June 2016 - 28
World Grain - June 2016 - 29
World Grain - June 2016 - 30
World Grain - June 2016 - 31
World Grain - June 2016 - 32
World Grain - June 2016 - 33
World Grain - June 2016 - 34
World Grain - June 2016 - 35
World Grain - June 2016 - 36
World Grain - June 2016 - 37
World Grain - June 2016 - 38
World Grain - June 2016 - 39
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Wheat futures under pressure
World Grain - June 2016 - 41
World Grain - June 2016 - 42
World Grain - June 2016 - 43
World Grain - June 2016 - 44
World Grain - June 2016 - 45
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Russia looks to boost grain production
World Grain - June 2016 - 47
World Grain - June 2016 - 48
World Grain - June 2016 - 49
World Grain - June 2016 - 50
World Grain - June 2016 - 51
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Sub-Saharan Africa taking in more wheat
World Grain - June 2016 - 53
World Grain - June 2016 - 54
World Grain - June 2016 - 55
World Grain - June 2016 - Zambia fighting to maintain surplus production status
World Grain - June 2016 - 57
World Grain - June 2016 - 58
World Grain - June 2016 - 59
World Grain - June 2016 - 60
World Grain - June 2016 - 61
World Grain - June 2016 - 62
World Grain - June 2016 - 63
World Grain - June 2016 - 64
World Grain - June 2016 - 65
World Grain - June 2016 - 66
World Grain - June 2016 - 67
World Grain - June 2016 - 68
World Grain - June 2016 - 69
World Grain - June 2016 - 70
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - VICTAM Asia 2016
World Grain - June 2016 - 72
World Grain - June 2016 - 73
World Grain - June 2016 - 74
World Grain - June 2016 - 75
World Grain - June 2016 - 76
World Grain - June 2016 - 77
World Grain - June 2016 - 78
World Grain - June 2016 - 79
World Grain - June 2016 - 80
World Grain - June 2016 - 81
World Grain - June 2016 - 82
World Grain - June 2016 - 83
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Giving flour more power
World Grain - June 2016 - 85
World Grain - June 2016 - 86
World Grain - June 2016 - 87
World Grain - June 2016 - A way to enhance flour sprouts up
World Grain - June 2016 - 89
World Grain - June 2016 - 90
World Grain - June 2016 - 91
World Grain - June 2016 - Milling Operations - Key observations of a miller
World Grain - June 2016 - 93
World Grain - June 2016 - 94
World Grain - June 2016 - 95
World Grain - June 2016 - 96
World Grain - June 2016 - 97
World Grain - June 2016 - 98
World Grain - June 2016 - 99
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Battle brewing on the border
World Grain - June 2016 - 101
World Grain - June 2016 - 102
World Grain - June 2016 - 103
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Bringing innovation to market
World Grain - June 2016 - 105
World Grain - June 2016 - 106
World Grain - June 2016 - 107
World Grain - June 2016 - 108
World Grain - June 2016 - 109
World Grain - June 2016 - 110
World Grain - June 2016 - 111
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Trading grain in a changed world
World Grain - June 2016 - 113
World Grain - June 2016 - 114
World Grain - June 2016 - 115
World Grain - June 2016 - 116
World Grain - June 2016 - 117
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - Organic acreage ascending
World Grain - June 2016 - 119
World Grain - June 2016 - Private label, millennial markets offer organic opportunities
World Grain - June 2016 - 121
World Grain - June 2016 - Feature - IAOM MEA district conference & expo
World Grain - June 2016 - 123
World Grain - June 2016 - Supplier News
World Grain - June 2016 - 125
World Grain - June 2016 - 126
World Grain - June 2016 - 127
World Grain - June 2016 - 128
World Grain - June 2016 - 129
World Grain - June 2016 - Product Showcase
World Grain - June 2016 - 131
World Grain - June 2016 - 132
World Grain - June 2016 - World Grain Archive
World Grain - June 2016 - Ad Index/Reader Information Form International Faxback Program
World Grain - June 2016 - 135
World Grain - June 2016 - 136
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http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_09_01
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http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2008_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2007_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2006_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_08_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_07_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_06_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_05_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_04_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_03_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_02_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2005_01_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_12_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_11_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_02
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_02
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_10_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_09_01
http://digital.world-grain.com/sosland/wg/2004_08_01
https://www.nxtbookmedia.com